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RESEARCH LAB
This is an exclusive space where we provide access to research, market intelligence, and expert insights on infrastructure investment, regulation, and financial modeling.
On 9 September 2026 we held the inaugural Vallorii Infrastructure Forum at Rhodes House, Oxford. 40 senior leader guests from government, regulators, utilities, investors and banks spent the day on one question: What will it take to make UK infrastructure fit for 2035, when the capital to build it exists but the certainty investors need before they commit it does not? The day had four panel sessions – macro risk, delivery, maintenance and valuation – as well as keynotes by Minister for...
What capital will fund, what the system needs
05/10/26
Our September 2026 roundtable examined how stock market evidence feeds into the regulatory cost of equity, asking a fundamental question: How should the allowed return on regulated infrastructure be set, when the market evidence behind it comes from five share prices, and those prices move mostly for reasons the model cannot see? The allowed return is the least visible number in a utility bill and one of the most consequential. It determines what investors earn for funding pipes, wires and...
What the market prices, and what the business carries
30/09/26
As the UK prepares for a significant wave of energy and water investment, a narrower question sits underneath it: if the regulated cost of equity is derived from listed comparators, what happens when only 5 of the 39 regulated electricity, gas and water entities in the UK are still listed on the domestic market? In our September roundtable we examined how stock market movements reach the regulatory cost of equity, and whether listing itself changes how a utility is financed. We looked at...
Roundtable September 2026: Does the market price what the business carries?
18/09/26
CAPM has been the workhorse model for cost of equity across regulated utilities but is reaching its limits.
Thematic Report: VAPRI: Vallorii's Price of Risk model for infrastructure cost of equity
11/09/26
Our July 2026 roundtable focussed on geopolitical risk in regulated infrastructure: What impact does foreign equipment and capital have on UK infrastructure finance and regulation? Drawing on Vallorii’s Cost of Capital Lab, we explored how geopolitics enters infrastructure assets: imported equipment behind capital and maintenance programmes, and the foreign capital financing the sector. The discussion suggested that affordability, security, and the cost of capital, are closely interlinked...
Roundtable July 2026: Geopolitics and the Price of Foreign-Built, Foreign-Financed Infrastructure
24/07/26
Our May 2026 roundtable turned to financial resilience in regulated infrastructure, asking a question that has moved to the centre of the UK infrastructure debate: How can the system balance the financial resilience that protects utilities against shocks with the affordability pressures that resilience-restoring measures place on consumers? Drawing on Vallorii's Price of Risk model (VAPRI), we explored how the erosion of financial headroom has changed the nature of resilience itself—shifting...
Roundtable May 2026: Financial Resilience: Balancing Resilience and Consumer Affordability
29/05/26
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